empty
12.01.2023 11:50 PM
EUR/USD. The euro meets the dawn and the dollar meets the sunset. The DXY will surrender the psychological 100 level

This image is no longer relevant

Falling inflation threatens the dollar to break the psychological level in the near future.

The US Consumer Price Index fell 0.1% m/m in December 2022, the first decline since May 2020. This surpassed market forecasts as they expected the index to remain unchanged. The annual inflation rate declined from 7.1% to 6.5%, according to preliminary estimates.

The market move was the expected one. The 103.00 mark on the dollar index, to which the US currency has been practically riveted lately, broke down. The initial response was more emotional, the indicator fell below 102.50, but quickly rebounded.

In the coming hours and days, market players will continue to analyze inflation in the context of US monetary policy, so the dollar's volatility may remain high.

Markets need confirmation of the interest rate cut in the second half of the year. They get it and it would weigh on the dollar. The Federal Reserve acknowledges the decline in inflation, but will not consider it a reason to consider inflationary pressures to be truly declining on a sustainable basis. Officials are likely to remain vigilant.

This image is no longer relevant

Falling inflation threatens the dollar to break the psychological level in the near future.

The US Consumer Price Index fell 0.1% m/m in December 2022, the first decline since May 2020. This surpassed market forecasts as they expected the index to remain unchanged. The annual inflation rate declined from 7.1% to 6.5%, according to preliminary estimates.

The market move was the expected one. The 103.00 mark on the dollar index, to which the US currency has been practically riveted lately, broke down. The initial response was more emotional, the indicator fell below 102.50, but quickly rebounded.

In the coming hours and days, market players will continue to analyze inflation in the context of US monetary policy, so the dollar's volatility may remain high.

Markets need confirmation of the interest rate cut in the second half of the year. They get it and it would weigh on the dollar. The Federal Reserve acknowledges the decline in inflation, but will not consider it a reason to consider inflationary pressures to be truly declining on a sustainable basis. Officials are likely to remain vigilant.

This image is no longer relevant

Regarding the internal factors of the euro, in Europe preliminary estimates pointed to an easing of price pressures. Annual inflation in the bloc hit a four-month low. However, with the exception of energy, inflation remains at record highs. Final data will be released next week.

At the same time, the European Central Bank Consumer Expectations Survey showed that expectations over the next 12 months eased for the first time since May 2022. Nevertheless, the central bank is unlikely to change the course of monetary policy. Another increase in borrowing costs is expected next month.

Rising housing prices. Which components are important?

When analyzing the current price situation in America., the markets can't ignore such an area as the cost of housing. It is curious to what extent home price growth was responsible for keeping inflation from changing further in December after adding 0.8% to the Consumer Price Index at the end of the year.

The indicator is important, but this form of inflation is only a temporary side effect for the Fed. Central bank officials are likely to take this into account when setting policy in the coming months.

"Given the impending easing of prices in general and the increasing impact of past interest rate hikes, the Fed may pause after the final 50 bps hike at the next meeting," Capital Markets economists suggest.

Thursday's price developments are all the more important after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said twice in December that Fed officials would likely overlook inflation in housing costs to focus instead on the pace of price growth in other parts of the services sector over the coming months.

"As rents expire and have to be renewed, they're going to be renewed into a market where rates are higher than they were when the original leases were signed," he said in December's monetary policy press conference.

"But we see that the new leases that are—that the rate for new leases is coming down. So, once we work our way through that backlog, that inflation will come down next year," he added.

What's more, the services sector inflation rates that actually matter were some of lowest or weakest of all those reported in Thursday's data with transportation and medical services inflation coming in at 0.2% and 0.1% respectively.

In other words, service sector inflation was at levels that were not inconsistent with the Fed's overall inflation target for December.

Natalya Andreeva,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2025
حدد الإطار الزمني
5
د
15
د
30
د
1
س
4
ساعات
1
يوم
1
أسبوع
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة

المقالات الموصى بها

صراع العمالقة: ماسك ضد ترامب بينما يحصي المستثمرون الخسائر

داو جونز -0.25%، S&P 500 -0.53%، ناسداك -0.83% تسلا تتراجع مع تصاعد الخلاف العلني بين ترامب وماسك طلبات إعانة البطالة الأولية ترتفع للأسبوع الثاني على التوالي أسهم أديداس وبوما تتراجع

Thomas Frank 11:45 2025-06-06 UTC+2

الأسواق المتباينة: الأسهم الأمريكية تتوقف، وآسيا تتسارع

داو جونز: -0.22%؛ S&P 500: ثابت؛ ناسداك: +0.32%. انكمش قطاع الخدمات في الولايات المتحدة في مايو لأول مرة منذ ما يقرب من عام. تراجعت CrowdStrike بسبب توقعات إيرادات مخيبة للآمال

12:40 2025-06-05 UTC+2

ملخص أخبار السوق الأمريكي ليوم 5 يونيو

أنهت المؤشرات الرئيسية للأسهم الأمريكية جلسة التداول بتغيرات طفيفة: ارتفع مؤشر S&P 500 بنسبة 0.01%، وزاد مؤشر Nasdaq بنسبة 0.32%، بينما تراجع مؤشر Dow Jones بنسبة 0.22%. تبنى المشاركون

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:59 2025-06-05 UTC+2

توقف مؤشرات الولايات المتحدة، وتسارع آسيا: ما الذي يحدث في الأسواق العالمية

داو جونز -0.22%، وستاندرد آند بورز 500 ثابت، وناسداك +0.32% قطاع الخدمات ينكمش في مايو لأول مرة منذ ما يقرب من عام CrowdStrike تتراجع بسبب توقعات أرباح ربع سنوية متشائمة

Thomas Frank 10:19 2025-06-05 UTC+2

تذبذب البيتكوين: هل يستمر في الاتجاه الصاعد أم يدخل في مرحلة التماسك؟

تواجه العملة المشفرة الأولى، بيتكوين، ضغوطًا كبيرة، حيث تتأرجح بين التراجعات من القمم السابقة والارتفاعات نحو قمم جديدة. ومع ذلك، يرفض الأصل الرائد الاستسلام ويواصل مساره نحو ارتفاعات جديدة

Larisa Kolesnikova 14:51 2025-06-04 UTC+2

ملخص أخبار السوق الأمريكي ليوم 4 يونيو

وسط النزاعات التجارية المستمرة والمخاوف المالية المتزايدة، يواصل المستثمرون الأمريكيون الالتزام باستراتيجية "شراء الانخفاض". وبعد أن وصلت إلى مستويات جديدة، تظل S&P 500 في دائرة الضوء حيث يقيم المشاركون

Ekaterina Kiseleva 12:42 2025-06-04 UTC+2

التفاؤل في الأسواق: ارتفاع أسهم Dollar General وPinterest وWells Fargo لرفع المؤشرات

ارتفاع مؤشر داو جونز بنسبة 0.51%، وارتفاع مؤشر S&P 500 بنسبة 0.54%، وارتفاع مؤشر ناسداك بنسبة 0.81% تقدم Dollar General بعد تحقيق هدف المبيعات السنوي تقدم Pinterest بعد ارتفاع أسهم

Thomas Frank 10:34 2025-06-04 UTC+2

النمو وسط المخاوف: انتعاش الأسواق، لكن التصنيع وتسلا يتعثران

المؤشرات: داو ثابت، وستاندرد آند بورز 500 يرتفع بنسبة 0.4%، وناسداك يرتفع بنسبة 0.7% المستثمرون يأملون في محادثات تجارية رغم تهديد ترامب بشأن الصلب تسلا تتراجع بعد الإبلاغ عن مبيعات

Thomas Frank 11:41 2025-06-03 UTC+2

ملخص أخبار السوق الأمريكي ليوم 3 يونيو

بعد المكاسب في الجلسة السابقة، تعرضت المؤشرات الرئيسية للأسهم الأمريكية، بما في ذلك S&P 500 وNasdaq، لضغوط حيث تراجعت العقود الآجلة وسط استمرار حالة عدم اليقين بشأن المفاوضات التجارية

Ekaterina Kiseleva 11:27 2025-06-03 UTC+2

ترامب يهز وول ستريت مجددًا: مؤشرات السوق تستجيب فورًا

تصريحات ترامب حول الصين تثير تحركات متقلبة في الأسواق. شركة Ulta Beauty تحقق مكاسب بعد رفع توقعاتها لأرباح العام بالكامل. ارتفع مؤشر داو بنسبة 0.1%، بينما انخفض مؤشر S&P

12:44 2025-06-02 UTC+2
لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.